According to russian sources, the cost of one modified A-50U filled with valuable electronics is close to $330 million. Not outdated at all. The avangard (hypersonic glide vehicle) is faster than any other aerial vehicle in the world (with a speed of Mach 20 to27). I [29], Russian Subordinate Main Effort #2Donetsk Oblast(Russian objective: Capture the entirety of Donetsk Oblast, the claimed territory of Russias proxies in Donbas), Russian forces continued ground attacks near Bakhmut and made tactical gains within Bakhmut on February 28. [1]https://t.me/mod_russia/24466;https://t.me/mod_russia/24467;https:// [2]https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign https://t.me/mod_russia/24273, [3]https://isw.pub/UkrWar022323; https://isw.pub/UkrWar02242023. Yes, in 1996 Chechnyan separatists managed to compel Russian troops to withdraw in the First Chechen War but were then brutally crushed four years later. $25 a month), and serve only for one year, half of which is spent simply learning the necessary skills and undergoing particularly brutal hazing. Russian battlefield defeats, and mounting casualties, also have an impact. So I think we - you know, and the laws of war will once again prove rather feckless in changing his decision to do that. It isnt a good army executing outdated or out-of-context tactics. A Russian bomber crew successfully landed their stricken aircraft in a field after the one of the airplanes engines failed. The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) accused the US and its accomplices on February 28 of planning to carry out a provocation in Ukraine using toxic chemicals. Recently, Russian military spending has ranged between the equivalent of $50 and $60 billion per year less than 10% of the annual US defense budget. It's true a significant chunk of Russia's army is made up of conscripts who are paid a pittance (2,000 rubles, ie. These factors still leave Russia at a deficit compared to US spending, but a much smaller one than decontextualized budget figures imply. Claim: According to a February 2023 video message, U.S. President Joe Biden had invoked the Selective Service Act, which will draft 20-year-olds through lottery to the military as a result of a The military mobilized an unspecified amount of These events suggest that there is a decline in the Russian militarys commitment to continue the war. [20]Ukrainian intelligence officials stated that Belarus supplied Russia with artillery ammunition from Belarusian warehouses to support operations in Ukraine. Now, most of those mercenaries with the Wagner Group, they are ex - we'll say, like, USSR orbit. Every day, Pentagon officials caution that Russias military will soon correct its mistakes, perhaps shutting off communications across the country, cutting off Mr. Zelensky from his commanders. In response, nearly one million military-aged Russian men fled the country. However, some of their age-old weaknesses havent been fixed at all. Get the latest in military news, entertainment and gear in your inbox daily. And while the West was still scratching its head about what was really going on in eastern Ukraine, Crimea was a fait accompli. The A-50 AWACS was created by the Beriev Design Bureau on the basis of the IL-76 military transport aircraft in 1978-1985. Russian Subordinate Main Effort #1 Luhansk Oblast (, Russian Subordinate Main Effort #2Donetsk Oblast, Russian forces continued ground attacks near Bakhmut and made tactical gains within Bakhmut on February 28. [11]Peskov added that Ukraine also needs to consider Russias specific goals in the war in Ukraine to reach a negotiated settlement. Amid the ongoing war in Eastern Europe, the Institute for the Study of Get the latest military news, entertainment, and gear in your inbox daily. https://twitter.com/EliotHiggins/status/1630535360735334400;https://tw https://twitter.com/GianlucaMezzo/status/1630577307260690435?s=20, https://twitter.com/DefenceHQ/status/1630453726304518144, Donetsk Battle Map Draft February 28, 2023.png, Kharkiv Battle Map Draft February 28, 2023.png, Zaporizhia Battle Map Draft February 28, 2023.png, Kherson-Mykolaiv Battle Map Draft February 28, 2023.png, Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 28, 2023.pdf, Russian Main EffortEastern Ukraine (comprised of two subordinate main efforts), Russian Subordinate Main Effort #1Capture the remainder of Luhansk Oblast and push westward into eastern Kharkiv Oblast and encircle northern Donetsk Oblast, Russian Subordinate Main Effort #2Capture the entirety of Donetsk Oblast, Russian Mobilization and Force Generation Efforts. WebRussias Overestimated Military Might. [80], Belarusian maneuver elements continue conducting exercises in Belarus. Russia is believed to have lost almost 1,000 tanks in its war with Ukraine, a senior US defense official said Thursday. Former Soviet satellite Slovakia has been a NATO member since 2004, but the reality of belonging to the worlds biggest military alliance really kicked in after Most of all, Russia has exposed to its European neighbors and American rivals gaps in its military strategy that can be exploited in future battles. And there will be lots of casualties. [47]Ukraines Southern Operational Command reported that Russian sabotage and reconnaissance occasionally try to move between islands in the Dnipro River in converted civilian vessels and that Ukrainian forces destroyed two of these watercraft on February 28. [16]Lukashenko also blamed the West and the US for coercing Ukrainian officials into rejecting negotiations with Russia. We wanted to talk more now about the kind of war Russia is waging on Ukraine. In 2018, about 400 Wagner Group mercenaries went up against some of our best troops - Delta Force, Green Berets, Marines - in eastern Syria. One picture shows a Russian thermobaric TOS-1A tank - a so-called "vacuum bomb" captured by the Ukrainian army. Absolutely hilarious to watch. The idea of an arms treaty between the two nations may be outdated. In one sense, this was predictable. Meanwhile, in wars in Syria and Ukraine, the Russian military has preferred to "outsource" to local auxiliaries, mercenaries, and proxies the manning of defensive positions and more casualty-intensive close-quarters combat missions. The military-historical caricature is that Moscow relied on the sheer mass of bodies and heavy weapons to defeat qualitatively superior foes. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky enacted a Ukrainian National Security and Defense Council decision to impose sanctions on Russian officials involved in the forced deportation of Ukrainian children on February 28. Full speed into the obvious minefield. [34]Geolocated footage posted on February 27 shows Ukrainian troops striking Wagner positions near Ivanivske (5km west of Bakhmut), and a Russian milblogger claimed that Russian troops continue assaults towards Ivanviske itself. You can follow his articles on Twitter. This is reflected in the Ground Force's preferred ad-hoc fighting formation, the Battalion Tactical Group, which combines infantry and tank companies with an unusually large quantity of artillery. MCFATE: Look; the laws of armed conflict, the laws of war, they all were created over 100 years ago, mostly, and they only seek to address conventional war, sort of state-on-state, military-on-military formal war like World War II. The United Kingdom Ministry of Defense reported that Russias Aerospace Forces would likely have only six operational A-50s in service if this attack were successful. Undersecretary of Defense for Policy Colin Kahl stated that the US does not assess that Russia will use nuclear weapons during a House Armed Service Committee hearing on American military support for Ukraine on February 28. In other words, Russias military modernization has been uneven at best. And the Western governments that have spoken openly about Russias military failings are eager to spread the word to help damage Russian morale and bolster the Ukrainians. Some 154 helicopters, 19 aircraft, and 17 MLRSs have also reportedly been lost. Adaily email update of the stories you need to read right now. Russia Is Still Using 60-Year-Old Tanks in Ukraine. It's mistaken to assume perceptions of the Russian and Soviet militaries necessarily remain true today. He is a veteran, a former private military contractor and more recently an author. WebAnswer (1 of 21): Yes. Wagner Group-affiliated media outletRIAFANposted footage on February 27 and 28 showing Wagner fighters walking around northern Bakhmut near the Stupky railway station and Sady Bakhmuta garden store, indicating that Wagner has advanced in northern Bakhmut. Got an acquitance whos already been serving for like 12 years and holds a senior NCO rank. Clickhereto see ISWs interactive map of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. It's true a significant chunk Skeptics like to point out Russia's gross-domestic product is in the same ballpark as Italy's. Russian authorities appear to be escalating their promotion of false flag information operations to distract from their lack of tangible battlefield gains and slow down the provision of Western tanks and other aid in advance of expected Ukrainian counter-offensives. [68]Russian independent media outlets also reported on February 27 that Russian courts extended the sentence of a Moscow resident previously sentenced for an arson attack on a military commissariat and sentenced a Volgograd resident to four years in prison for setting fire to the back room of a military registration and enlistment office on May 15. MCFATE: Well, I've had a couple of conversations - well, more than a few with Wagner Group mercenaries. [33]A Russian milblogger remarked that Russian troops are attacking towards Bohdanivka in order to threaten the Khromove-Bakhmut route. So they reported lies to him instead. [1] The Russian MoD relatedly claimed on February 19 that Ukrainian officials are planning false-flag attacks at hazardous radiation facilities in Ukraine to accuse Russian forces of indiscriminately striking such sites. Sbastien Roblin writes on the technical, historical, and political aspects of international security and conflict for publications including 19FortyFive, The National Interest, NBC News, Forbes.com and War is Boring. Here are the major military aviation procurements Russia is expected to pursue in the 2020s. https://t.me/RVvoenkor/39332;https://twitter.com/Danspiun/status/16306 https://www.facebook.com/OperationalCommandSouth/posts/pfbid0QKZqHXVCM4m https://t.me/dnipropetrovskaODA/3344;https://t.me/Yevtushenko_E/2691 https://www.azatutyun.am/a/32292266.html;https://www.themoscowtimesdot. Russian tank units, for instance, have deployed with too few soldiers to fire and protect the tanks, officials said. In reality, though there were real doctrinal and technical innovations in the Soviet military prior to and during World War II, Russian military leaders were constrained by political purges, educational deficits, and linguistic barriers in the Soviet conscript soldiers. This whole question of what constitutes a war crime in the modern era was established in the Geneva Convention in 1949. Subscribe to Task & Purpose Today. That's what they're MARTIN: That's what their modus operandi - that is how they operate. Military operations designed to take place sequentiallyStep 1, then 2, then 3, etc.fell apart, catastrophically. MCFATE: Basically, it's anything that doesn't look like World War II is sort of, like, what that means, or sneaky warfare. Moscows forces are likely to step up the kind of broader attacks that have led to rising numbers of civilian deaths. But its also due to the fact that the Russian army just isnt very good. It added: "Due to the lack of high-precision weapons, However, this change may have no real impact, as present mobilization law prohibits contract soldiers from quitting even after their contracts expire. as well as other partner offers and accept our. Russia will commit hara-kiri if it sends its tanks fitted with 1PN96MT-02 optical sights in the Ukraine War. The T-62 is a vintage tank fielded by the Russian Army since the initial months of the ongoing conflict. [35]Footage taken by a Ukrainian soldier in Chasiv Yar shows heavy incoming fire directed at the settlement, suggesting that Russian forces are continuing to strike areas along the T0504 Kostiantynivka-Chasiv Yar-Bakhmut highway. [45]Humenyuk also claimed that Russian forces are shelling Russian-occupied settlements on the east (left) bank in Kherson Oblast to give Russian occupation officials and forces the pretext to conduct evacuations from Oleshky, Skadovsk, and Nova Kakhovka and withdraw closer towards Crimea. It looks like the Ukrainians have been most successful when ambushing Russian troops, Mr. Bullock said. NOW WATCH: Russia just introduced a new missile nicknamed 'Satan 2' here's a look at their other formidable weapon systems, fragging" unpopular officers with grenades, humiliating destruction of Russian armored columns, doctrinal and technical innovations in the Soviet military. The latest: Ukraines air defenses thwarted a number of Russian missiles fired at targets across the country on Thursday. [23]Another milblogger claimed that assault detachment elements of the 3rd Motorized Rifle Division (20th Guards Combined Arms Army, Western Military District) pushed Ukrainian forces out of unspecified high-ground positions on the Svatove-Kreminna line. In the 21st century, Moscow must make do with a smaller, more professional military, and one that's better at keeping highly trained personnel alive. A destroyed Russian tank is seen outside of Izyum district of Kharkiv Oblast, It hasn't - the horror hasn't started yet. They created this fog of war and used it all these sneaky ways. The tweet claims the tank was abandoned in good condition and fully-loaded. "For example, for every item of gear or equipment, we must listen to those who use them and understand how these items perform and whether they are fit for their intended purpose," Putin told his coordination council, according to the Kremlin's official site. We called Sean McFate to try to understand what this might mean. That Russia has so quickly abandoned surgical strikes, instead killing civilians trying to flee, could damage Mr. Putins chances of winning a long-term war in Ukraine. The Ukrainians have obliterated several old tanks armed with abundant anti-tank-guided missiles. So mercenaries, in the last six or eight years, have become Russia's weapon of choice. Over the past decade, the Russian armed forces have greatly improved, especially in the numbers of troops and quality of weapons. Lukashenko stated during his official trip to China that Russia is ready to take steps towards a peaceful settlement and that there is a unique opportunity to end the war in Ukraine before Russia puts its economy on a stronger war footing. That information campaign centering on Russias openness to negotiations aimed to prompt Western officials to offer preemptive concessions and coerce Ukraine to negotiate on Russian terms and likely contributed to the delay in the provision of Western tanks and other equipment essential for the continuation of Ukrainian mechanized counteroffensives. [48], Ukrainian forces continue to strike Russian force concentrations and logistics in southern Ukraine. [1] The Russian MoD relatedly claimed on February 19 that Ukrainian officials are planning false-flag attacks at hazardous radiation facilities in Ukraine to accuse Russian forces of indiscriminately striking such sites. Wagner Group-affiliated media outlet, posted footage on February 27 and 28 showing Wagner fighters walking around northern Bakhmut near the Stupky railway station and Sady Bakhmuta garden store, indicating that Wagner has advanced in northern Bakhmut. They've moved troops around the country in slow, lumbering convoys that have seemed to get stuck at times, and they've had trouble keeping up their supply lines. Its been this way for much of February. That said, Russias invasion of Ukraine has been particularly sluggish and flawed. The Russian military is being forced to increasingly rely on outdated Soviet-made equipment in its ongoing invasion of Ukraine, pulling out weapons that have been The Ukrainians have obliterated several old tanks armed with abundant anti-tank-guided missiles. The town itself has been shattered by the fighting, with buildings bombed out and streets abandoned. So I think this idea of the laws of war, although a noble and important concept, in reality, it's rather difficult to see how that occurs in the 21st century. And the more Putin resorts to chaotic destructiveness, the more organized the defenses become. Convoys of tanks are rolling inhowever slowlyfrom the north, west, and south. Despite those losses, Russia is continuing its push, and with that still trying to move its armor forward, directly into Ukrainian landmines. The reporter and at least one editor know the identity of the source. As a result, two Il-76 transport planes, each carrying 100 airborne troops, were shot down. Serbia has shown interest in French jets since 2022 in the hopes of replacing outdated Soviet MIGs. The invocation of Chechnya and Finland is peculiar as while both conflicts with Russia suggest certain operational and tactical lessons, neither ended victoriously for Russia's opponents. https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid0dDf2w34VWwwcuYqnxSQ https://t.me/wargonzo/11149;https://www.understandingwar.org/backgroun https://t.me/btr80/5171;https://twitter.com/auditor_ya/status/16305795 https://twitter.com/EjShahid/status/1630263342756515840, https://t.me/boris_rozhin/79250;https://t.me/sashakots/38680. Stay up to date with what you want to know. [62], Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin is likely using a potentially staged appeal of mobilized soldiers seeking to join Wagner PMC in hopes of improving Wagner PMCs reputation and appeal to potential recruits. So it's really curious. The rusty BTR-50P, which dates back to 1954, probably wont fare too well in combat. Its a little bit early to draw any definitive lessons learned, he added. Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Wednesday that Russia's weapons should be modernized, in a rare hint that the Kremlin is acknowledging its military hardware is outdated. Serbia has shown interest in French jets since 2022 in the hopes of replacing outdated Soviet MIGs. Old and outdated equipment has given way to new and sophisticated weapons Groups are working to de-mine those areas to make them safe for civilians. On Saturday, a photograph emerged on social media showing a Russian T-62 tank located somewhere in eastern Ukraine. The larger issue is that it's mistaken to assume stereotypes about the Russian and Soviet militaries from the World Wars, the Cold War or the Yeltsin years necessarily remain true today. Only 64% of Russian military equipment and machinery is new or recent. Whats their motivation for telling us? 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